marbella rea estate market update
May 3, 2026

Sotogrande Property Market: Q1 2026 in Focus

By Alfredo Bloy-Dawson

I caught up with Charlie Gubbins, Partner at Noll Sotogrande, to get his read on how the first quarter has played out for the real estate marke there.

“Q1 has been relatively okay,” Charlie told me. “A slow start. I think everyone had that with the weather and people getting on later.”

The numbers from Spain’s Notarial Statistics Portal for postcode 11310 backs that up. Across the 12 months from March 2025 to February 2026, postcode 11310 recorded 197 sales in total, with January 2026 producing just 14 transactions and February dropping further to 10. That pattern of a slow start to the calendar year is consistent with what agents on the ground are seeing.

PeriodSales
Mar 202511
Apr 202518
May 202514
Jun 202519
Jul 202523
Aug 20255
Sep 202525
Oct 202521
Nov 202519
Dec 202518
Jan 202614
Feb 202610

Notary data 12 months to February 2026

Despite the subdued opening months, the broader picture holds up. The average sale price over the period sat at €698,944, across an average property size of 235m2, putting the average price per m2 at €2,975. Month to month there is meaningful variation. January 2026 saw the highest per-m2 figure in the dataset at €4,301, while November 2025 was the lowest at €2,287. That spread reflects the mix of stock transacting each month rather than a trend in either direction.

Price change rate
PeriodVariation (%)
201629,93
20175,29
2018-4,64
2019-6,25
2020-6,45
202113,2
202226,35
2023-4,46
202424,18
2025-4,54

Notary data 12 months to February 2026

On buyer nationality, the data and Charlie’s observations line up closely. Foreign buyers account for 53% of all purchases in the area, with British nationals the single largest group at just under 43% of all foreign transactions. France, Germany, Romania and Ireland follow, with a substantial portion falling into other nationalities. Charlie noted the same spread in his own pipeline: Romanians, British, German, Swiss, French, Italian, Danish and Polish buyers all active in the quarter.

×
Foreign buyers by nationality
Non-residents
CountryResidents (%)(%)Total (%)
United Kingdom16,6726,0442,71
France3,135,218,33
Germany1,044,175,21
Romania1,044,175,21
Ireland04,174,17
Others17,7116,6734,38

Notary data 12 months to February 2026

The buyer profile is also clear. The median age of purchasers in 11310 reached 55 in 2025, up from 48 a decade ago. The largest single age bracket is 51 to 60, which accounts for over 41% of buyers. These are not speculative purchases. The data points to established, financially settled buyers making considered lifestyle decisions, which aligns with what Charlie describes on the ground. “People looking here in Sotogrande are typically family-oriented. The school is done, attracting people. We have climate security, and the lifestyle of golf and polo.”

Nearly 98% of transactions involve resale properties, which is characteristic of a mature, established residential area with limited new development. Apartments make up around two thirds of sales, with houses accounting for the remaining third.

One number worth noting is the annual price change rate for 2025, recorded at drop of 4.54%. After a 24% rise in 2024, some softening is not surprising. The longer run of annual figures shows this market moves in cycles, with sharp rises followed by corrections. The underlying level of demand, the buyer profile and the continued international interest suggest the correction is modest rather than structural.

Charlie remains straightforward about where things stand. “Maybe a little bit slower than last year, but still, after a very slow start, happy with what we got.”

Meanwhile: Sean Woolley, the Managing Director of Cloud Nine Spain added: “I think Sotogrande is on the up generally. People are looking for more space, more air. I can see a bright future for Sotogrande.”

The numbers from the Notariado give that view some grounding. Three sales completed by Noll in Q1, a pipeline building, and a buyer pool that spans most of northern Europe. The fundamentals here are not going anywhere.

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