A Look at 2024

Spain’s property market defied global trends in 2024, posting a remarkable 10% sales growth in the first nine months and surpassing 500,000 transactions. A standout third quarter saw a 16% year-on-year increase, with Malaga Province leading the charge at 18% growth. While neighbouring countries like France and Germany struggled with declining markets, Spain’s resilience—bolstered by foreign buyers, local demand, and a strong economy—cemented its position as one of Europe’s top-performing real estate markets.

  1. Sales Growth in 2024
    • Spain’s property market recorded a 10% increase in sales in the first nine months, surpassing 500,000 transactions.
    • The third quarter saw a 16% year-on-year growth, reflecting strong demand across the country.
    • Malaga Province experienced 18% growth in Q3, an acceleration from the 6% increase in the first nine months.
  2. Comparison with Neighbouring Countries
    • While countries like France and Germany saw declines in housing markets, Spain remained resilient, marking one of its best years on record.
  3. Foreign Buyers’ Impact
    • Foreign non-resident buyers (primarily purchasing second homes or investments) drove a significant portion of the demand, growing by 20% in Q3.
    • Malaga outperformed other regions, with Alicante only seeing a 1% increase in foreign non-resident purchases during the same period.
  4. Shift in Buyer Demographics
    • A surge in buyers from Eastern Europe, particularly Poland, contributed to the market’s growth.
    • Local Spanish buyers also played a critical role, with local demand up 20%, highlighting a balanced market.
  5. Economic and Political Drivers
    • Spain’s strong economic performance in 2024, coupled with robust tourism, supported the housing market.
    • Political concerns in countries like the UK led to increased migration and property purchases in Spain.
  6. Golden Visa Influence
    • The phasing out of Spain’s Golden Visa scheme by early 2025 created a rush in Q4, but its impact on overall figures was limited.
  7. Prices and Market Elasticity
    • Average property prices increased by 6% nationally in the first nine months, with Malaga seeing a 10% rise.
    • Experts noted that the market remains price-sensitive, with buyers cautious about overvalued properties.
  8. Market Stability
    • Unlike the 2007 bubble, the current market growth is driven by sustainable demand and strict lending criteria, reducing risks of a speculative bubble.
  9. Challenges in Rental Markets
    • High rents and limited affordability continue to pressure the rental market, pushing some individuals into homeownership.
  10. Outlook for 2025
    • While the market shows no immediate signs of overheating, experts suggest moderate growth in line with inflation to maintain stability.
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